Alaves – Valencia TIPS from insiders (24.01.2018)

Deportivo Alavés and Valencia meet at the Mendizorroza Stadium, in a return match for this phase of the Copa del Rey (Quarter-finals), after the victory at home to Valencia by (2-1) in the first leg. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which records 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. In this match the home factor may be decisive, since Deportivo Alavés presents considerable differences in their results at home and as a visitor.

Alavés:

The home team comes to this second leg with a disadvantage of 1 goal, but with the advantage of having scored 1 goal as a visitor in the first leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 15 conceded. The team comes to this match after a draw at home with CD Leganés by (2-2). In the last 10 home matches Deportivo Alavés has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 22 of the last 51 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 33 out of 51 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they suffered the first goal 6 times and only managed 1 comeback. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 14 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (46′-60 ‘).

The Deportivo Alavés comes to this game with a tie to two against Leganés, adding in this way the following game without winning in several competitions. We remember that the locals need to reverse the 2-1 suffered in the first leg against Valencia. In this game in his stadium coach Abelardo will play in 4-4-2, opting for a more defensive strategy, exploring only the counterattack. It is important to note that striker El Haddadi is the best scorer of Deportivo Alavés, with 7 goals scored. However, it is important to emphasize that the locals have several weaknesses in the maintenance of ball possession and completion. For this day the coach can not count on Ortega and Burgui, both injured.

Valencia:

The away team comes to this second leg with an advantage of 1 goal, but suffered 1 goal at home in the first leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 13 conceded. The team comes to this match after a loss away with Las Palmas by (2-1). In the last 10 away matches Valencia has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 5 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 37 of the last 56 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have come back in 2. In the last 13 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period highlighted: they have suffered 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76’-90 ‘ ).

Valencia comes to this game with a rebuff in the field of Las Palmas, 2-1, placing a final point to the four successive wins in several competitions. Despite this rebuff, visitors are motivated to advance in the Copa del Rey. In this game away from home, coach Marcelino Toral must act in the usual 4-4-2, privileging possession of the ball and organized attacks, especially through the flanks. The Brazilian Rodrigo is the great highlight of Valencia, with 12 goals scored. The counterattacks and the finalization are the strong points of the visiting team. Everything indicates that the coach does not have important absences for this game.

Insider TIP: Both team to score / YES – 1.68

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