I go again with this tie as I did in the first leg with the X2 of Arsenal, this time I’m going to decant for the local victory without more, in the first leg I already trust that the Arsenal would be superior and only the fact of playing away from home and that the Milan was on an upward trajectory and San Siro was preparing for an important European night after more than five years of gloom.
But as I argued in the first leg, both teams are in a similar scenario, they are 6th in its leagues, Arsenal with 48 points and Milan with 47, but Arsenal is more used to playing this type of games, has been 20 consecutive years entering the Champions League and this year has played the Europa League, while the Milan has returned to Europe this year after many years of disappointment, and Wenger’s experience with Gattuso on the bench is far superior.
In the first leg we could see that Arsenal came out with a march to the game, with more self-confidence and playing at pleasure against a Milan that could only defend and reach the area of Ospina with slight sparks from Suso, the center of the field was dominated at pleasure by Özil, Wilshere and Mkhitaryan, which was a real ordeal for Milanista defenders, came to the break with 0-2 on the scoreboard, although they could be more, especially with a great chance of the Armenian of Arsenal who left out after touching in the crossbar, a first part in which the Milan was unable to throw between the 3 London sticks.
With the match on track, in the second part Arsenal was dedicated to letting pass the minutes, throwing their lines further back and Milan could only arrive with distant shots without any danger, in fact of the 11 shots that tried only 1 had to be stopped by the Arsenal goalkeeper.
A part of all this, the difference of templates is another point in favor of Arsenal, that of the English is more extensive and experienced than that of the Italians, while Arsene Wenger made up to 7 changes in his last league match with respect to the first leg at San Siro, Gennaro Gattuso only rotated 2 players with respect to the first leg, a match where they had to suffer and sweat until the minute 94 to get the 3 points, while Arsenal beat the Watford 3- 0 without many problems. The freshness of the Arsenal players over the Milanese can be key in the final minutes of the game.
Another fact in favor of the Arsenal is that they have the championships positions in the premier to 12 points left to play only 24 points and they know that if they want to return to play the Champions League next year, the fastest and most feasible way for them is to win the Europa League, since otherwise they should win the 8 remaining games of premier and hope that Liverpool or Tottenham lose 4 of these 8 days. While Milan have in the Serie A Champions positions to only 6 points with one game less than the Lazio who is the one who marks the court right now, therefore they know that if they focus on the league as they have been doing so far, options to get a place for the 2018/2019 Champions League is very possible, while if they continue competing in both competitions, plus the wear and tear they have suffered to get to the Italian Cup final, it is possible that the physicist of a so short template does not reach them to be able to dispute everything and finish without achieving any of the objectives as they are among the top 4 of Serie A and after reaching the final of the Cup, win it to the almighty Juventus. This is why the concentration and motivation of the Arsenal players will undoubtedly be greater than those of the Milanese who know of the difficulty of coming back from 0-2 and know that the option to enter Europe through the league is more likely.
Insider TIP: Arsenal to win – 2.05