After the first part of the 26th game day in the English Premier League last weekend, there are still seven games to be seen this weekend. The fans of English football will get their money’s worth, because all games are kicked off at a different time. A duel at eye level promises the game between Southampton and Burnley according to the current Premier League table.
Southampton vs Burnley Free Betting Tips
After the first 25 games of the season, both teams currently have 31 points on their account and are thus in the middle of the Premier League. However, both teams should not check off the season early, because both the gap to Europe and the lead in the relegation battle are manageable.
Although both teams are at a similar level, the best bookmakers in the duel between Southampton and Burnley rate the Hasenhüttl eleven as clear favorites according to current odds. Is this assessment justified? We will get to the bottom of this question in this article and try to make an accurate prediction for the duel of the table neighbors between Southampton and Burnley.
Southampton – Statistics & current form
Should the goal difference decide at the end of the season on the placement, the team of Ralph Hasenhüttl will probably lose out. Also – or rather, above all – due to the fierce 0: 9 home loss to Leicester City in autumn, the goal difference for the Saints is a minus point. In retrospect, this disgrace in front of the home crowd was probably the best thing that could have happened to the team.
Instead of falling into pure actionism, the coaching team was given confidence and ex-Leipzig coach Ralph Hasenhüttl turned the right screws. The relegation zone has now been left clearly behind. The Saints are currently seven points ahead of 18th. The gap to sixth place – which qualifies for the Europa League – is only six points.
The club owes this to a strong series between matchday 13 and 22. In this phase, the Hasenhüttl-Elf only suffered two defeats, the opponents had six wins and two draws. Among other things, the Saints succeeded in the successful revenge against the Foxes of Leicester City. In the most recent three Premier League games, however, the Hasenhüttl team left the field twice as a loser.
This season’s striking weakness is striking. The Hasenhüttl-Elf only collected eleven points at St. Mary’s Stadium. This is the worst value of the Premier League. For the Saints it is the worst home win since the 1991/92 season – at that time Southampton had only collected ten points after twelve home games. In view of these figures, the odds according to the betting base odds comparison are by no means recommendable for us in a duel between Southampton and Burnley.
The statement that striker Danny Ings will meet for the Saints seems more recommendable. The former international is something like life insurance this season. He has already scored 17 goals across all competitions. The last time a Saints player scored more than Ings in the 2002/03 season (James Beattie with 24 goals). But this value is also possible for the 27-year-old.
Probable lineup of Southampton:
↪ McCarthy – Bertrand, Bednarek, Stephens, Ward-Prowse – Djenepo, Romeu, Höjbjerg, Redmond – Ings, Long
Last games from Southampton:
⚽️ 02/05/2020 – Tottenham vs. Southampton 3-2 (FA Cup)
⚽️ 02/01/2020 – Liverpool vs. Southampton 4-0 (Premier League)
⚽️ 01/25/2020 – Southampton vs. Tottenham 1-1 (FA Cup)
⚽️ 01/21/2020 – Crystal Palace vs. Southampton 0-2 (Premier League)
⚽️ 01/18/2020 – Southampton vs. Wolverhampton 2: 3 (Premier League)
Burnley – Statistics & current form
It is no wonder that the great Dominator from Liverpool – we can still recommend our special for chasing the Liverpool record – has the best defense in the league. Accordingly, the Reds are also at the forefront in the “white vest” statistics. Second place is quite surprising – because Burnley actually played the second most games without conceding a goal.
The team of head coach Sean Dyche has been able to keep a total of nine times this season. In comparison: Liverpool also “only” get eleven Premier League games without conceding a goal. The nine clean sheets for Burnley mean better statistics than in the entire season last year. At that time, there were only eight white jackets to be announced in 38 games.
In the last two league games, goalkeeper Nick Pope did not have to fall behind. This is quite surprising, as Burnley had two top teams in front of their chest with the away game at Manchester United (2-0 win) and a home game against Arsenal London (goalless draw). Should the Clarets also keep the zero on Saturday, Burnley would play three consecutive Premier League games without conceding for the first time since December 2017.
While the defensive is often convincing – nonetheless there have been 38 goals conceded – the offensive is by no means to be found in the top field of statistics. Burnley has only scored 28 goals this season. Out of the game, it is relatively rare to create a goal. Dormant balls are a great strength and always ensure hits.
With only four half-time tours this season, Burnley has the lowest value of any Premier League club. The mixture of the recent strong defensive and the few goals allows us to predict a goalless first half between Southampton and Burnley.
Burnley probable lineup:
↪ Pope – Taylor, Mee, Tarkowski, Lowton – Hendrick, Westwood, Cork, McNeil – Wood, Rodriguez
Last Burnley games:
⚽️ 02.02.2020 – Burnley vs. Arsenal 0-0 (Premier League)
⚽️ 01/25/2020 – Burnley vs. Norwich City 1: 2 (FA Cup)
⚽️ 01/22/2020 – Manchester United vs. Burnley 0-2 (Premier League)
⚽️ January 19, 2020 – Burnley vs. Leicester City 2-1 (Premier League)
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Chelsea vs. Burnley 3-0 (Premier League)
Southampton vs Burnley Direct Comparison & Statistics Highlights
Burnley’s “The Clarets” aren’t exactly the Saints’ favorite opponent. Southampton FC have not won any of their last six Premier League games against Burnley. A draw was made three times, the remaining three games were lost.
Striking: in four of these six games, Southampton could not even score a goal. Among other things, in the first leg of the current season on Matchday 1 when Burnley prevailed 3-0 at Turf Moor. The last two league games in a year, Burnley won against Southampton in the 1946/47 season.
Southampton vs Burnley Free Betting Tips Provided by Insider Tipsters
Even if you take a closer look at the two teams, there is basically nothing to suggest a tip on the home side between Southampton and Burnley at the current odds. The weakest home team in the league, which recently suffered the same number of defeats in three games as before in ten games.
On the other side is Burnley, a team that has not only scored four points in the last two games against Manchester United and Arsenal, but has never conceded a goal.
Key facts – Southampton vs Burnley tips
🔹 Eleven home points – Southampton is the worst home team in the league
🔹 Burnley last won both league games against the Saints in 1946/47
🔹 Nine clean sheets for Burnley – second best behind Liverpool
In this respect, we are very surprised that there is a maximum of 1.85 between Southampton and Burnley for the tip on the home side. This could offer both the double chance X2 and a bet on the “draw no bet market”.
For us, there is value in both ways. We finally decided on the more lucrative choice and made four units in a duel between Southampton and Burnley for the Clarets victory in the draw-no-bet market.
Competition: Premier League
Date: Feb 15, 2020
Insider Tips: Draw-no-bet: 2
Stake: 4/10 units